Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Fannie Mae: ‘Things are looking up for housing’

Americans' attitudes about the housing market are strengthening, according to Fannie Mae's May 2015 National Housing Survey, a survey of about 1,000 consumers on their views about homeownership. The survey results echo recent forecasts that predict a pickup in housing activity for the year.

In the latest survey, more consumers reported an increase in household income, nearing an all-time survey high. The growth in wages falls in line with the recent positive jobs reports that show an increase in average hourly earnings. The percentage of consumers surveyed by Fannie Mae who say their household income is "significantly higher" than 12 months ago grew six percentage points to 28 percent over the past two months.

"As job growth appears to be driving meaningful income growth, the outlook for housing market growth also is improving," according to Fannie Mae's report.

The share of consumers who say it's a good time to sell a home continues to rise, also reaching an all-time survey high in May at 49 percent of respondents – six percentage points higher year-to-year. In addition, the number of consumers who would prefer to buy rather than rent on their next move rose three percentage points in May to 66 percent.

"Things are looking up for housing," says Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, noting the survey high for those who say it's a good time to sell, as well as the growing percentage of consumers who say their household income is significantly higher than last year.

"We have found that these two indicators – good time to sell and income growth – are key drivers for the performance of the housing market," Duncan says. "The increase in these indicators suggests our forecast of moderate improvement in the housing market in 2015 is on course and mirrors the near-term performance of other leading market data, including mortgage applications and pending home sales."

The survey also found:
  • Consumers say they believe home prices will rise by 2.8 percent, on average, in the next 12 months.
  • The number of respondents who believe mortgage rates will go up in the next 12 months dropped to 47 percent.
  • Consumers say they believe rental prices will rise about 4.3 percent in the next 12 months.
  • The percentage of respondents who believe it would be easy to get a home mortgage fell by 2 percentage points to 50 percent, while those who think it would be difficult remained at 46 percent.
Source: Fannie Mae
Repost courtesy of and © Copyright 2015 INFORMATION, INC. Bethesda, MD. Original post here: http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=4&id=324273

Monday, June 1, 2015

Hot housing market sparks bidding wars

Buying a house these days can mean putting up a fight. A surprisingly strong housing market this spring has put more homebuyers in the middle of bidding wars in South Florida, buyers and agents say. The race for a place is especially heated for families seeking homes from $200,000 to $400,000, which are harder to come by.
"The words 'Make your highest and best offer' are like nails on a chalkboard," said Judy Trudel, a buyer's agent in Broward and Palm Beach counties.

Sean Zamora is typical of many exasperated buyers. The 32-year-old charter manager for a yacht broker was outbid on four houses in Fort Lauderdale, even though he offered near list price. He suspects that asking the sellers to pay closing costs was the deal-breaker each time.

"It was just a big pain," said Zamora, who eventually bought a two-bedroom home on the east side of town. "You just have to deal with it. What can you do?"

Andy Constant figured he had some wiggle room on a three-bedroom Parkland home listed for $419,900. He bid $380,000, only to be told of another offer at $405,000.

Convinced that bidding eventually would stretch beyond the asking price, Constant and his wife, Rachel, wanted to stand out from the other buyers. So they offered $427,500 and wrote a personal letter to the seller, saying they pictured their son playing catch in the front yard and their daughter riding her scooter in the driveway.

"That was kind of the clincher," Andy Constant, 45, said of the letter. "It gave a personal flavor to the transaction."

The bidding wars are reminiscent of 2012 and 2013, when investors started buying properties in bunches after prices hit bottom. Buyers needing mortgages lost out to cash offers, while some buyers risked losing deals if they took longer than a day to make a decision.

Heavy demand helped give the once-reeling market a boost and led to double-digit price increases in Broward and Palm Beach counties. That pace, though, couldn't continue, and the market cooled in 2014.

Now buyer urgency is back, fueled by loosening restrictions on mortgages and young families eager to find something before the next school year starts, agents say. An improving job market and low mortgage rates also are contributing to the sales binge.

Palm Beach County sales rose 18 percent in April from a year ago, and the 1,743 transactions were the most in a single month since 2004, according to the Realtors Association of the Palm Beaches. Broward had 1,465 sales, up 10 percent from a year earlier, the Greater Fort Lauderdale Realtors said.
Real estate observers had hoped that higher prices would persuade more sellers to test the market, though buyers are still complaining about a lack of quality listings.

Agents say a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers has a six-month supply of homes, meaning it would take that long to sell all of the existing properties if no more were listed. At the end of April, Broward had a 4.8-month supply, while Palm Beach County was at five months, according to the local Realtor boards.

While the two counties are starting to see more lower-priced homes for sale, most aren't in move-in condition, agents say.

"It seems like all the good stuff on the market is gone, and now we're dealing with the listings that don't meet buyers' criteria," said Beverly Rothstein, an agent for Berkshire Hathaway Home Sales. "It could need a new roof or an updated kitchen, or it could be any one of 50 things."

Donna and Jim Stetson started looking for homes in northwest Broward shortly after the first of the year, taking a conservative, if not leisurely, approach.

After losing four houses to more aggressive buyers, the Stetsons zeroed in on a four-bedroom home with a pool and a lake view in the Westchester neighborhood of Coral Springs. The couple was determined not to lose another home and beat out at least one other buyer in offering $5,000 above the $349,900 list price.

"I hate bidding wars," said Donna Stetson, 58, a customer service representative for a software provider. "It's anxious and uncertain and just feels wrong. You give them a full-price offer and you still have to 'win' the house.

"It's not like the old days when you make an offer and get a counter. You know what you're dealing with. In a bidding war, you don't know what you're dealing with."

Keyes Co. agent Beth Patterson said one of her clients is struggling to find a home in her preferred neighborhood, Lauderdale Isles in southwest Broward.

Patterson said the client receives text alerts whenever one of the homes comes on the market. They rush over to look at it as soon as the property is available. In each case, the client lost out to a higher offer or the home already was under contract.

In this environment, agents say, buyers shouldn't get cute. If the home is in good condition and priced close to market value, it probably will attract multiple offers. A strong initial bid and few contingencies are the best bets for striking a deal.

Agents and analysts expect the sales pace to slow this summer, easing the burden on buyers. Until then, they'll have to strike a balance between staying vigilant and making a poor financial decision, Patterson said.

"Right now their mindset makes them a little desperate," she said, "and more willing to pay more than they probably should."

Repost courtesy and Copyright © 2015 the Sun Sentinel (Fort Lauderdale, Fla.), Paul Owers. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.  Original post here: http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=4&id=323905